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Bad News for Social Security: We're Living Longer

December 8, 1999

In a report to the Social Security Advisory Board, a special government commission has concluded that Americans are likely to live longer in the future than predicted, making Social Security's financial prospects even worse than previously estimated.

The panel of actuaries, demographers, and accountants, chaired by Eugene Steuerle of the Urban Institute, concluded that life expectancy will increase by at least three years more than previously thought, more than offsetting gains from reduced inflation and higher economic growth. As a result, Social Security will be forced to increase taxes or reduce benefits much more than under previous assumptions.

There is only one alternative to raising taxes or cutting benefits. By investing Social Security funds in real assets through individual accounts, workers can take advantage of the power of compound interest and the higher return from capital investment. The new report on longevity only goes to confirm the unsustainability of the current pay-as-you-go Social Security system. It should serve as a wake-up call to Congress and the president.

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  Nearly 80% of Americans pay more in Social Security taxes than they do in federal income tax.
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"These days, the eyes of Cato officials are gleaming at the prospect that privatizing Social Security, a project on which the 24-year-old think tank has worked for years, may be coming to fruition. If privatizers can overcome a few problems that worry their own supporters, it could be a bold new future, with Cato ideas leading the way."

- Hartford Courant
Feb. 26, 2001