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Polls: Bush Falls Behind, But Personal Accounts Hold Up

September 12, 2000

Several opinion polls now show Vice President Gore running ahead of Gov. Bush. Whatever the reason for the Bush decline, support for Bush's plan to reform Social Security with personal retirement accounts has held up.

In a Washington Post-ABC News poll of 1,065 registered voters nationwide conducted Sept. 4-6, Vice President Gore held a 48-40 advantage over Gov. Bush on Social Security, smaller than average for a Democrat on this issue.

Moreover, fifty-nine percent supported giving people the option to invest some of their Social Security taxes in the market (Gov. Bush's plan), with 37 percent opposed. Thirty-nine percent of respondents felt that budget surpluses should be devoted to Social Security, versus 21 percent for tax cuts, 26 percent for reducing debt, and 12 percent for increasing spending on other domestic programs.

A separate poll commissioned by PaineWebber and conducted by Gallup Organization showed that many investors are unaware of the details of the Bush and Gore Social Security proposals. Only 12 percent of the 810 respondents are familiar with Gore's plan for subsidized retirement accounts for lower-income families. Only 28 percent were familiar with the Bush's proposal to allow individuals to invest a percentage of their payroll taxes in personal accounts. However, 56 percent favor proposals to use a portion of Social Security taxes for retirement accounts. Of that group, 82 percent say that individuals rather than the government should manage that money. 58 percent of those surveyed say they are willing to risk potential market downturns in return for personal control.

2001 Index | 2000 Index | 1999 Index | 1998 Index





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  The full retirement age today is 65 years and four months. It rises by two months every year, gradually increasing to age 67 for people born after 1959.
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"The push to convert Social Security into a system of personal accounts has been led by the Cato Institute."

- Paul Krugman
New York Times
September 6, 2002