
Destiny of Freedom for Social Security?
by Peter Ferrara
Peter J. Ferrara is general counsel and chief economist at Americans for
Tax Reform and an associate scholar at the Cato Institute.
Last December El Salvador became the seventh nation in Latin
America to allow its workers a private option to Social Security. While Chile
is famous for being the first, Argentina, Peru, Colombia, Bolivia and Mexico
have now followed, as well as E1 Salvador.
El Salvador's reform rivals Chile's as the strongest. In the private
system, employers pay 6.5 per cent of payroll into an individual account for
each worker. The worker pays another 3.5 percent into the account, as well as
up to 3 percent for life insurance, disability insurance and administrative
fees.
Workers choose from a range of private investment management firms
approved by the government to handle their accounts. These firms then pick the
individual investments for the workers. At retirement, the accumulated funds
finance an annuity that pays monthly benefits to the retiree for life.
The entire system is indexed for inflation, as in Chile. That
is possible because the private capital investments supporting the system earn
real returns, in excess of inflation, over the long run.
The system also guarantees workers a minimum retirement benefit.
If the private benefits that can be financed by the accumulated account funds
fall below this minimum for some reason, the government will pay supplemental
benefits to bring total benefits up to the minimum. As a percentage of pre-retirement
income, this minimum is close to the average benefit under the U.S. system.
Those already in the work force who switch to the new system receive
specially issued government bonds--called recognition bonds--to compensate them
for their past taxes paid into the old system. These bonds will be sufficient
to pay a proportion of the old system's benefits in retirement equal to the
proportion of lifetime taxes the worker paid into the system.
At standard market investment returns, workers in the new system
can expect three times or more the benefits that the U.S. Social Security system
promises, as a percent of pre-retirement income. Moreover, these benefits would
be fully funded, and not subject to the long-term financing gaps of the U.S.
system.
As in Chile, where the savings rate is now more than 25 percent,
El Salvador can expect a massive increase in national saving and investment
through the private accounts, which will sharply increase economic growth. Of
course, the poor in El Salvador will benefit most from the higher retirement
benefits and higher economic growth the private system will provide. All workers
will benefit as well from increased freedom of choice and control over their
money.
Such reform is likely to spread elsewhere around the globe. Little-known
is that the World Bank has been actively pushing such reform at least since
its publication in 1994 of a landmark study recommending the change for countries
all over the world. Great Britain already has an option, under which almost
80 percent of its workers have opted out of half the system there. In the recent
British elections, both parties promised to explain this option further.
In the United States, Harvard economics professor Martin Feldstein
has been heavily promoting such reform from his platform as president of the
National Bureau of Economic Research. He joins other top economists and Nobel
Prize winners in this view, including Milton Friedman, James Buchanan and Gary
Becker.
These efforts are now taking hold. Top national polls are showing
huge majorities in favor of such reforms. In 1994, Frank Luntz asked workers
under 35 whether they would support the idea "of redirecting part of the
Social Security taxes to a personal retirement account like an IRA which could
be kept at any financial institution they would like, and receiving less in
Social Security benefits from the government," He found 82 percent saying
yes. In 1995, in a poll of an adults, Mr. Luntz found Americans supporting the
idea by 77 percent to 14 percent. In 1996, Bill McInturff of Public Opinion
Strategies, perhaps the leading candidate polling firm, found the public favoring
the idea by 68 percent to 11 percent.
Moreover, last month Oregon may have started a national trend
as its legislature passed a remarkable resolution calling on Congress to enact
a waiver system for Social Security that would allow each state to adopt a private
option for its residents. This proposal is based on the highly successful waiver
option for national welfare programs, which has avowed states to adopt quite
effective reforms for those programs. Efforts are under way to adopt such resolutions
in other state legislatures.
If Congress doesn't start paying attention soon, America will
be left behind in this galloping international trend. Left behind as well will
then be the freedom and prosperity of the American people.
This article originally appeared in The Washington Times on July 2, 1997.
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